Mainz 05
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Latza (75'), Fernandes (85'), Ji (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Alario (30')
Bender (57')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga match between Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
19%	20.47%	60.53%

Both teams to score 58.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.16%

37.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.91%

60.08%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66%

33.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.04%

69.96%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.86%

12.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.27%

37.73%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 19%

Bayer Leverkusen 60.53%

Draw 20.47%

Mainz 05	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.15% 1-0 @ 4.44% 2-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-1 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.09% Total : 19%	1-1 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 4.05% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.47%	1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 6.95% 0-3 @ 6.33% 2-3 @ 3.82% 1-4 @ 3.67% 0-4 @ 3.34% 2-4 @ 2.01% 1-5 @ 1.55% 0-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 4.06% Total : 60.53%