RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Mainz 05

Forsberg (17' pen.), Poulsen (21'), Haidara (51')
Poulsen (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mateta (48')
Mateta (30'), Latza (58')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Mainz 05
53.25%	22.33%	24.42%

Both teams to score 60.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.47%

39.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.13%

61.87%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.09%

14.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.72%

43.27%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.59%

29.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.6%

65.4%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 53.25%

Mainz 05 24.42%

Draw 22.33%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 6.17% 3-0 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.25%	1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 4.38% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.33%	1-2 @ 6.25% 0-1 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 3.28% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.21% Total : 24.42%