Union Berlin will be desperate to remain within touching distance of the top two, but the visitors look set to drop more points this weekend as Borussia Monchengladbach extend their unbeaten run on home soil to six matches.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
-0.56) 
0.32) 
