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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
S

Augsburg
1 - 1
Schalke

Maier (51')
Vargas (62'), Gikiewicz (78'), Cardona (90+2'), Gouweleeuw (90+2')
Demirovic (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bulter (90+3' pen.)
Balanta (5'), Kral (12'), Jenz (63'), Frey (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 5-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 2-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Schalke 04

The form book makes this a difficult match to call, with Augsburg winning each of their last four home matches, but Schalke generating an impressive unbeaten run in recent weeks. As such, both managers may not be too disappointed with avoiding defeat, especially as that would allow the hosts to keep a healthy distance between themselves and the relegation zone. We can envisage a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawSchalke 04
35.29% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 25.76% (0.041 0.04) 38.95% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.96% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (-0.18 -0.18)49.19% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (-0.162 -0.16)71.25% (0.155 0.16)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)26.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)62.19% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)24.83% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (-0.203 -0.2)59.41% (0.195 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 35.29%
    Schalke 04 38.95%
    Draw 25.75%
AugsburgDrawSchalke 04
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 35.29%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 9.3% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.95% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 38.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bayern 5-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, February 17 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Friday, February 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 2-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Schalke
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 2-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 Schalke
Sunday, February 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 0-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, February 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-0 Schalke
Saturday, February 4 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


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