SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
74.04% ( -0.08) | 15.68% ( 0.04) | 10.28% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.41% ( -0.08) | 34.58% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.47% ( -0.09) | 56.52% ( 0.09) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.02% ( -0.04) | 7.97% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.86% ( -0.09) | 28.13% ( 0.09) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.79% ( 0) | 43.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.53% ( 0) | 79.46% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 74.03% | 1-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.68% | 1-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 10.28% |
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