Freiburg
2 - 4
B. Leverkusen

Holer (3'), Petersen (72')
Kubler (45+1'), Heintz (50')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Alario (29', 42'), Amiri (64'), Tah (76')
Bender (24'), Diaby (60')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga match between Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-0 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
23.86%	23.39%	52.75%

Both teams to score 55.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.07%

44.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.71%

67.29%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19%

32.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62%

69.37%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.98%

17.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.85%

47.15%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 23.86%

Bayer Leverkusen 52.75%

Draw 23.38%

Freiburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 6.22% 2-1 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 3.47% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.86%	1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 5.58% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.38%	0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 5.76% 0-3 @ 5.17% 2-3 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 2.55% 0-4 @ 2.29% 2-4 @ 1.42% 1-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.75%