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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
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B. Leverkusen
5 - 2
Stuttgart

Demirbay (18', 31'), Bailey (56'), Wirtz (68'), Gray (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kalajdzic (50', 77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.77%) and 3-1 (5.64%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
46.04%21.94%32.03%
Both teams to score 67.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.07%31.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.52%53.48%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42%14.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.35%42.64%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45%20.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94%53.06%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 46.04%
    Stuttgart 32.03%
    Draw 21.94%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 8.79%
1-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 5.64%
2-0 @ 5.55%
3-2 @ 4.46%
3-0 @ 3.57%
4-1 @ 2.72%
4-2 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-3 @ 1.13%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 46.04%
1-1 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 6.95%
0-0 @ 2.99%
3-3 @ 2.36%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-1 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 3.81%
0-2 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 3.67%
0-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.51%
2-4 @ 1.45%
3-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.03%

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