B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Mainz 05

Alario (14'), Schick (84')
Tah (3'), Wendell (13'), Tapsoba (67'), Schick (68'), Fosu-Mensah (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Glatzel (89'), Stoger (90+2')
Stoger (90+4')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Mainz 05
64.79%	18.88%	16.33%

Both teams to score 58.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.97%

35.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.97%

57.03%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.81%

10.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.53%

33.47%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.44%

34.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.72%

71.28%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 64.79%

Mainz 05 16.33%

Draw 18.89%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 7.43% 3-0 @ 6.99% 4-1 @ 4.24% 4-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-2 @ 2.25% 5-1 @ 1.94% 5-0 @ 1.82% 5-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.15% Total : 64.79%	1-1 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 5.18% 0-0 @ 3.52% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.89%	1-2 @ 4.54% 0-1 @ 3.74% 0-2 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.61% Total : 16.33%