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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Jun 14, 2020 at 5pm UK
VELTINS-Arena
LL

Schalke
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Caligiuri (51' pen.)
Kabak (9'), Miranda (35'), Caligiuri (60'), McKennie (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Miranda (81' og.)
Alario (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 0-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Schalke 04DrawBayer Leverkusen
16.52%18.69%64.78%
Both teams to score 59.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.32%33.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.5%55.5%
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51%33.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88%70.12%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.18%9.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.4%32.6%
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 16.52%
    Bayer Leverkusen 64.78%
    Draw 18.69%
Schalke 04DrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 4.57%
1-0 @ 3.6%
2-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.93%
3-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 16.52%
1-1 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 5.3%
0-0 @ 3.29%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.69%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 8.86%
0-1 @ 7.63%
1-3 @ 7.5%
0-3 @ 6.85%
1-4 @ 4.35%
2-3 @ 4.1%
0-4 @ 3.98%
2-4 @ 2.38%
1-5 @ 2.02%
0-5 @ 1.85%
2-5 @ 1.11%
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 64.78%


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