Union Berlin
1 - 1
Mainz 05

Ingvartsen (33')
Andrich (20'), Schlotterbeck (78'), Friedrich (90+2')
Andrich (42')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Baku (13')
Boetius (78'), Latza (89')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Mainz 05.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Mainz 05
42.14%	24.42%	33.45%

Both teams to score 59.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.49%

43.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.1%

65.91%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.23%

20.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.59%

53.41%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.73%

25.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.97%

60.04%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 42.14%

Mainz 05 33.45%

Draw 24.41%

Union Berlin	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 8.25% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.14%	1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 7.8% 0-1 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.45%