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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
 
ML

Stuttgart
2 - 0
Mainz 05

Kalajdzic (55'), Wamangituka (72')
Forster (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Niakhate (21'), Bell (43'), Onisiwo (45+1'), Svensson (54'), Kohr (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawMainz 05
53.09%22.44%24.46%
Both teams to score 59.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.97%40.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.61%62.39%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.86%15.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.29%43.71%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35%29.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31%65.69%
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 53.09%
    Mainz 05 24.46%
    Draw 22.44%
StuttgartDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 6.12%
3-0 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 2.89%
4-0 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 53.09%
1-1 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 4.49%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-1 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 24.46%

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