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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
May 26, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
W

B. Leverkusen
1 - 4
Wolfsburg

Baumgartlinger (86')
Demirbay (29'), Baumgartlinger (63'), Diaby (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pongracic (43', 75'), Arnold (64'), Steffen (68')
Victor (32'), Ginczek (67'), Casteels (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
58.21%21.52%20.27%
Both teams to score 57.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.16%40.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.77%63.23%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23%13.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.92%41.08%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18%33.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52%70.48%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 58.21%
    Wolfsburg 20.27%
    Draw 21.52%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 9.15%
3-1 @ 6.56%
3-0 @ 6.05%
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 3.25%
4-0 @ 3%
4-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.29%
5-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 58.21%
1-1 @ 10.01%
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.43%
0-1 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 2.74%
1-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 20.27%


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