Despite Gladbach's strong form heading into this fixture and their shock win at the Allianz Arena in January, we expect the Bavarians to be too strong for them in the end this time around.
Goals seem likely with both teams usually deploying expansive styles, and we expect Gladbach to make Bayern work harder for their victory than most teams will this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 75.46%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 10.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 3-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.88%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
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