SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | FC Koln | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Stuttgart | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Wolfsburg | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Schalke 04 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 3-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Wolfsburg |
76.94% ( 0.07) | 13.2% ( -0.04) | 9.86% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.91% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.37% ( 0.08) | 22.62% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.25% ( 0.12) | 41.74% ( -0.12) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.17% ( 0.03) | 4.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.55% ( 0.08) | 19.45% ( -0.08) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( 0.01) | 34.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% ( 0.01) | 71.69% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 3-1 @ 8.23% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)6-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.85% Total : 76.94% | 1-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 13.2% | 1-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.86% |
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