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Bayern logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
LL
Leipzig logo

Bayern
3 - 2
RB Leipzig

Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig

Despite the calibre of their opponent, and the form that they find themselves in under their new boss, we are expecting Bayern to triumph comfortably on Saturday. Bayern seem to rise to the occasion of big fixtures like this one and put in scintillating performances, and they will be eager to capitalise on the opportunity to put the pressure on Dortmund by extending their gap to nine points at the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.86%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
59.86%19.07%21.08%
Both teams to score 67.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.3%27.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.63%48.38%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.74%9.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.72%31.29%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6%25.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79%60.21%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 59.86%
    RB Leipzig 21.08%
    Draw 19.07%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.13%
3-1 @ 7.24%
2-0 @ 6.66%
1-0 @ 5.6%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 4.96%
4-1 @ 4.31%
4-0 @ 3.14%
4-2 @ 2.95%
5-1 @ 2.05%
5-0 @ 1.5%
5-2 @ 1.41%
4-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 59.86%
1-1 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 2.35%
3-3 @ 2.27%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 19.07%
1-2 @ 5.26%
0-1 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 2.4%
0-2 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.01%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 21.08%

Read more!
Read more!


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