Despite the calibre of their opponent, and the form that they find themselves in under their new boss, we are expecting Bayern to triumph comfortably on Saturday.
Bayern seem to rise to the occasion of big fixtures like this one and put in scintillating performances, and they will be eager to capitalise on the opportunity to put the pressure on Dortmund by extending their gap to nine points at the top of the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.86%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
