It is difficult to see past a comfortable home win on Sunday, with Leipzig on the up in recent weeks and the visitors in such dreadful form, and their confidence at rock bottom as a result.
The majority of Leipzig's slip-ups this season have been on their travels, so despite a poor start to the campaign, they have remained strong at home for the large part.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 70.76%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
