Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 2-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City in this match.
