Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Dortmund

Mohwald (28')
Gross (54'), Woltemade (87'), Schmid (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Guerreiro (12'), Reus (78')
Reus (35'), Witsel (60')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
12.75%	17.14%	70.11%

Both teams to score 55.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.33%

34.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.38%

56.62%

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.91%

39.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.2%

75.8%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.15%

8.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.69%

30.3%

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 12.75%

Borussia Dortmund 70.1%

Draw 17.14%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 3.7% 1-0 @ 3.25% 2-0 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.41% 3-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.71% Total : 12.75%	1-1 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 4.49% 0-0 @ 3.46% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.14%	0-2 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-1 @ 8.39% 0-3 @ 8.22% 1-3 @ 7.72% 0-4 @ 4.99% 1-4 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 3.63% 0-5 @ 2.42% 1-5 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 2.2% 2-5 @ 1.07% 0-6 @ 0.98% 1-6 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.9% Total : 70.1%