Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
