Wolfsburg
5 - 3
Werder Bremen

Baku (22'), Brooks (25'), Weghorst (37', 76'), Bialek (90+5')
Lacroix (73'), Arnold (81')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Bittencourt (13'), Mohwald (36'), Brooks (47' og.)
Mbom (24'), Mohwald (57')
Mohwald (80')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Werder Bremen
45.24%	25.67%	29.08%

Both teams to score 52.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.23%

50.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.33%

72.67%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6%

22.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.08%

55.92%

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24%

31.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.81%

68.2%

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 45.24%

Werder Bremen 29.09%

Draw 25.67%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Werder Bremen
1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.2% Total : 45.24%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.09%