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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Jan 9, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
WB

B. Leverkusen
1 - 1
Werder Bremen

Schick (70')
Schick (67'), Demirbay (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toprak (52')
Augustinsson (54'), Mbom (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.2%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 1-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWerder Bremen
56.2%21.52%22.28%
Both teams to score 60.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86%38.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59%60.41%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51%13.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48%40.52%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57%30.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37%66.62%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 56.2%
    Werder Bremen 22.28%
    Draw 21.52%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 8.24%
1-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 6.54%
3-0 @ 5.5%
3-2 @ 3.89%
4-1 @ 3.28%
4-0 @ 2.75%
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.31%
5-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 56.2%
1-1 @ 9.78%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 4.11%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-1 @ 4.88%
0-2 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 22.28%

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