Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.2%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 1-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.