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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Nov 21, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
DL

Hertha Berlin
2 - 5
Dortmund

Cunha (33', 79' pen.)
Cunha (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Braut Haaland (47', 49', 62', 79'), Guerreiro (70')
Guerreiro (10')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-0 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
13.27%18.48%68.25%
Both teams to score 52.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.09%39.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.73%62.27%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.26%41.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.79%78.21%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.31%10.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.41%34.59%
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 13.27%
    Borussia Dortmund 68.25%
    Draw 18.48%
Hertha BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 3.9%
2-1 @ 3.81%
2-0 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.24%
3-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 13.27%
1-1 @ 8.72%
0-0 @ 4.46%
2-2 @ 4.26%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.48%
0-2 @ 11.15%
0-1 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 9.75%
0-3 @ 8.31%
1-3 @ 7.26%
0-4 @ 4.65%
1-4 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-5 @ 2.08%
1-5 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.77%
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 68.25%


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