Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-0 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
