Lazio
3 - 1
Dortmund

Immobile (6'), Hitz (23' og.), Akpa-Akpro (76')
Alberto (42'), Strakosha (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Braut Haaland (71')
Reyna (62'), Delaney (62')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League match between Lazio and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.88%) and 2-3 (5.02%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
31.63%	20.85%	47.51%

Both teams to score 71.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.37%

26.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.98%

47.02%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.83%

18.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.85%

49.15%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.88%

12.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.31%

37.7%

Score Analysis

Lazio 31.64%

Borussia Dortmund 47.51%

Draw 20.85%

Lazio	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.76% 3-2 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 3.84% 1-0 @ 3.76% 2-0 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.62% Total : 31.64%	1-1 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 7.13% 3-3 @ 2.85% 0-0 @ 2.2% Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.85%	1-2 @ 8.36% 1-3 @ 5.88% 2-3 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 4.9% 0-1 @ 4.65% 0-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 3.1% 2-4 @ 2.65% 0-4 @ 1.82% 3-4 @ 1.51% 1-5 @ 1.31% 2-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.75% Total : 47.51%