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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Oct 24, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
HB

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Upamecano (11'), Sabitzer (77' pen.)
Upamecano (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cordoba (8')
Tousart (17'), Zeefuik (47'), Labbadia (90+1'), Ngankam (90+2')
Zeefuik (50')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHertha Berlin
63.65%19.75%16.59%
Both teams to score 56.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.31%38.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.01%60.99%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.46%11.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.54%36.45%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.48%36.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.69%73.3%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 63.65%
    Hertha Berlin 16.59%
    Draw 19.75%
RB LeipzigDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 7.13%
3-0 @ 7.07%
4-1 @ 3.85%
4-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.59%
4-2 @ 1.94%
5-1 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 63.65%
1-1 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 4.99%
0-0 @ 4.21%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.75%
1-2 @ 4.62%
0-1 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.67%
1-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 16.59%


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