Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 60.33%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 20.74% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.