Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.