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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Nov 6, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Weserstadion
KL

Werder Bremen
1 - 1
FC Koln

Bittencourt (82' pen.)
Mbom (31'), Osako (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moisander (67' og.)
Wolf (23'), Czichos (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFC Koln
35.87%25.03%39.1%
Both teams to score 57.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14%45.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83%68.17%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02%24.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37%59.63%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75%23.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83%57.17%
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 35.87%
    FC Koln 39.1%
    Draw 25.03%
Werder BremenDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 8.15%
1-0 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.87%
1-1 @ 11.75%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-1 @ 8.47%
0-2 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 1.52%
0-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 39.1%


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