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KL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2020 at 5pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
UB

FC Koln
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Skhiri (36')
Duda (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Awoniyi (27'), Kruse (72')
Ingvartsen (35'), Giesselmann (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawUnion Berlin
32.46%24.94%42.59%
Both teams to score 57.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8%46.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.51%68.49%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.84%27.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.44%62.56%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31%21.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16%54.84%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 32.46%
    Union Berlin 42.59%
    Draw 24.93%
FC KolnDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 7.68%
2-1 @ 7.65%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.46%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-2 @ 6.88%
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.59%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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