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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
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FC Koln
1 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Rexhbecaj (84')
Ehizibue (31'), Rexhbecaj (35'), Sorensen (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Plea (14'), Lainer (16'), Stindl (56' pen.)
Bensebaini (31'), Herrmann (82'), Lainer (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 53%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
24.88%22.12%53%
Both teams to score 61.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.91%38.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.64%60.35%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73%28.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01%63.99%
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.51%14.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.53%42.47%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 24.88%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 53%
    Draw 22.12%
FC KolnDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 6.31%
1-0 @ 5.17%
2-0 @ 3.27%
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 24.88%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.1%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-1 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 7.64%
1-3 @ 6.22%
0-3 @ 4.92%
2-3 @ 3.93%
1-4 @ 3%
0-4 @ 2.38%
2-4 @ 1.9%
1-5 @ 1.16%
0-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53%


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