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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
EF

FC Koln
1 - 0
Frankfurt

Modeste (84')
Andersson (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hinteregger (63'), Jakic (89')

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Koln's strong home form, and Frankfurt's struggles so far this year, mean we are predicting a narrow win for the hosts on Saturday. Goals are to be expected between two sides that struggle to keep many clean sheets, whilst they also remain fairly prolific in front of goal at the other end as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawEintracht Frankfurt
45.42%23.54%31.05%
Both teams to score 61.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.71%40.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33%62.67%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95%18.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.05%48.95%
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84%25.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11%59.89%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 45.42%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 31.05%
    Draw 23.53%
FC KolnDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 5.24%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 45.42%
1-1 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.54%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-1 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.91%
0-3 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.05%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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