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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
FL

FC Koln
1 - 0
Freiburg

Modeste (23')
Thielmann (65'), Ljubicic (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Woo-yeong (81'), Hofler (83')

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Freiburg

These two sides head into their clash with very similar styles and similar success so far this campaign, with both being so well organised and difficult to beat. As a result, we are predicting for these sides to finish as they did in September, with a 1-1 draw to share the points in an evenly-matched encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawFreiburg
47.09%23.77%29.14%
Both teams to score 59.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6%42.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19%64.8%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79%18.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78%49.21%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55%27.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06%62.93%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 47.09%
    Freiburg 29.14%
    Draw 23.76%
FC KolnDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 47.09%
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-1 @ 6.46%
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.8%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.14%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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