SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.87%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 19.91% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.38%) and 1-3 (7.3%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (5.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 19.91% | 19.21% | 60.87% |
| Both teams to score 65.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.78% | 30.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.54% | 51.45% |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% | 27.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.47% | 63.53% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.24% | 9.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.54% | 32.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 5.16% 1-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.56% 2-0 @ 2.22% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.36% Total : 19.91% | 1-1 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 2.72% 3-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.21% | 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 6.34% 0-3 @ 5.72% 2-3 @ 4.66% 1-4 @ 4.25% 0-4 @ 3.33% 2-4 @ 2.71% 1-5 @ 1.98% 0-5 @ 1.55% 2-5 @ 1.26% 3-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.83% Total : 60.87% |
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