Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.87%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 19.91% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.38%) and 1-3 (7.3%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (5.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
