SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
37.03% ( 0.13) | 24.67% ( 0.02) | 38.3% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% ( -0.11) | 44.13% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% ( -0.1) | 66.51% ( 0.1) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( 0.02) | 23.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.39% ( 0.03) | 57.61% ( -0.03) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( -0.13) | 22.89% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( -0.19) | 56.64% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.3% |
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