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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
ML

St Pauli
0 - 3
Mainz

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Burkardt (5', 62'), Sieb (16')
Sieb (20'), Jenz (79'), Kohr (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 0-3 St Pauli
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: St Pauli 1-1 Mainz 05

Although the hosts have been in better form of late, they have only scored four goals in the league, and it would be surprising if they scored many on Saturday. Additionally, Mainz have been difficult to beat away from home recently, and they will likely prove stubborn to break down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawMainz 05
54.91% (-0.175 -0.18) 22.62% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 22.47% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 56.61% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (0.121 0.12)42.98% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.11799999999999 0.12)65.39% (-0.11699999999999 -0.12)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)15.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.49% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)44.51% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.04% (0.21300000000001 0.21)32.96% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46% (0.234 0.23)69.54% (-0.232 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 54.91%
    Mainz 05 22.47%
    Draw 22.62%
St PauliDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 54.91%
1-1 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 22.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Freiburg 0-3 St Pauli
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 22 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 3-1 St Pauli
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 St Pauli
Friday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Heidenheim
Sunday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hallescher 2-3 St Pauli
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Mainz 0-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Mainz
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Mainz
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wiesbaden 1-3 Mainz
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal


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