Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.