Saturday's fixture at the Mercedes-Benz Arena is a meaningful game for both Stuttgart and Koln, with the former bidding to secure survival and the latter vying to qualify for Europe.
Even though Koln suffered defeat last time out, they will be the slight favourites for this contest and we can see them securing a slender win on the road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.