Stuttgart have looked scintillating offensively in pre-season, and we expect to see goals in Dresden on Friday.
The hosts have enough about them to grab a goal but we cannot see beyond the Bundesliga side making their superior quality pay on the day.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stuttgart in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stuttgart.
-0.2) 
0.25) 
