Stuttgart certainly have more to play for in this game and will be desperate for three points to increase their lead over the bottom three, but they face a tough test. Given the absences they are dealing with, we opt for a draw on Saturday, with Mainz also likely seeing the meeting as a good opportunity to add to their points tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Stuttgart
52.82%	24.53%	22.64%

Both teams to score 50.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.07%

50.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.19%

72.8%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76%

19.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.05%

50.95%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.77%

37.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.99%

74.01%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 52.82%

Stuttgart 22.65%

Draw 24.53%

Mainz 05	Draw	Stuttgart
1-0 @ 11.8% 2-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.82%	1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.08% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.69% Total : 22.65%