While a Kalajdzic-inspired Stuttgart can feel optimistic about their chances of breaking down a Leipzig defence that has shipped goal after goal already this summer, the towering Austrian may not be in peak physical condition for the opening day.
Tedesco's squad is not in perfect shape either, but with Nkunku seeking to pick up where he left off and Bayern already feeling the full force of Roten Bullen's attacking talent, we are backing Leipzig to pick up a straightforward opening-day success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 57.21%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 21.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 0-1 (8.46%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
-0.23) 
0.06) 
