We said: Stuttgart 1-1 VfL Bochum
Stuttgart's dreadful run of form, and Bochum's high level of confidence following last weekend, mean we cannot see the hosts picking up a vital three points on Saturday.
The visitors would be pleased with a point, so we can see them putting in a stubborn display to come away level at the Mercedes Benz Arena.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
