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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 4, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
VB

Hertha Berlin
1 - 1
VfL Bochum

Belfodil (23')
Ekkelenkamp (56'), Mittelstadt (84'), Richter (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Polter (48')
Bella-Kotchap (85')

We said: Hertha Berlin 2-2 VfL Bochum

Both sides are in mixed form, making this a tricky fixture to call. Hertha have the home advantage, but Bochum have fared slightly better since the start of the year, so we can see the two cancelling each other out in an entertaining game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawVfL Bochum
39.72%24.53%35.75%
Both teams to score 59.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46%43.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.07%65.93%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08%21.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81%55.19%
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03%23.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79%58.21%
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 39.72%
    VfL Bochum 35.75%
    Draw 24.53%
Hertha BerlinDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 8.65%
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 6.05%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.72%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-1 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 5.36%
1-3 @ 3.87%
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 35.75%

Read more!
Read more!


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