A closely-fought contest between two teams desperate to returning to winning way and climb away from danger is set to take place on Saturday.
Taking into account Heidenheim's home form and Darmstadt's struggles on the road, we believe that the hosts will do just enough to grind out hard-fought victory to remain outside of the bottom three.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
0.24) 
-0.08) 
