SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
55.9% ( 0.24) | 22.49% ( -0.08) | 21.6% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.8% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.52% ( 0.14) | 43.48% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.12% ( 0.14) | 65.87% ( -0.14) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% ( 0.13) | 15.39% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.79% ( 0.24) | 44.2% ( -0.25) |
| SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% ( -0.08) | 34.04% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% ( -0.09) | 70.72% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 21.6% |
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