Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Darmstadt 98 would win this match.
