Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.