Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin |
24.56% ( 0.14) | 24.71% ( 0.03) | 50.73% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 52.3% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.12% ( -0.01) | 49.88% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.13% ( -0.01) | 71.87% ( 0.01) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.1% ( 0.12) | 34.9% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.36% ( 0.13) | 71.64% ( -0.12) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.34% ( -0.07) | 19.66% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.36% ( -0.12) | 51.64% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.56% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.73% |
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