We expect a comfortable win for the visitors, who rarely give up leads when they edge ahead in matches.
Indeed, Union Berlin have won five matches in a row without conceding in all competitions, so Bochum have a serious job on their hands to even score against Fischer's table toppers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
0.14) 
-0.17) 
