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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Dec 12, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
BL

Union Berlin
1 - 1
Bayern

Promel (4')
Knoche (45'), Promel (72'), Becker (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lewandowski (67')
Davies (30'), Gnabry (37')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-3 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBayern Munich
12.6%15.8%71.59%
Both teams to score 60.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.8%28.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.01%48.98%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16%34.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42%71.57%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.05%6.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.52%25.48%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 12.6%
    Bayern Munich 71.59%
    Draw 15.8%
Union BerlinDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.59%
1-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 1.68%
2-0 @ 1.35%
3-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 12.6%
1-1 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 4.79%
0-0 @ 2.42%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 15.8%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-2 @ 8.61%
1-3 @ 8.07%
0-3 @ 7.65%
0-1 @ 6.46%
1-4 @ 5.38%
0-4 @ 5.1%
2-3 @ 4.26%
1-5 @ 2.87%
2-4 @ 2.84%
0-5 @ 2.72%
2-5 @ 1.51%
1-6 @ 1.28%
0-6 @ 1.21%
3-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 71.59%

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