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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
H

Wolfsburg
2 - 0
Heidenheim

Wind (6', 27')
Gerhardt (36'), Wimmer (45+5'), Vranckx (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Makkabi 0-6 Wolfsburg
Sunday, August 13 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Rostocker FC 0-8 Heidenheim
Sunday, August 13 at 12pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Wolfsburg 3-1 Heidenheim

Heidenheim will be immensely motivated for this match given that it will be their first ever Bundesliga match in the club's history, but it could prove to be a rude awakening for them regarding the amount of quality at this level. While we expect Wolfsburg to be worked hard for their victory, Kovac's side became an increasingly solid team as last season wore on, and they will hope to qualify for Europe this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawHeidenheim
30.04% (1.138 1.14) 23.95% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 46.01% (-1.169 -1.17)
Both teams to score 59.28% (0.623 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26% (0.491 0.49)42.74% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86% (0.487 0.49)65.14% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (1.015 1.02)27.02% (-1.009 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (1.308 1.31)62.37% (-1.302 -1.3)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (-0.27799999999999 -0.28)18.78% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (-0.47 -0.47)50.18% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 30.04%
    Heidenheim 46.01%
    Draw 23.95%
WolfsburgDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.189 0.19)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.046 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.151 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.168 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.119 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.9% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.04%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.104 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 46.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Makkabi 0-6 Wolfsburg
Sunday, August 13 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-2 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 6-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, May 7 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Mainz
Sunday, April 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Rostocker FC 0-8 Heidenheim
Sunday, August 13 at 12pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Jahn 2-3 Heidenheim
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 SV Sandhausen
Saturday, May 20 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: SC Paderborn 3-2 Heidenheim
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-0 Magdeburg
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Greuther Furth 0-2 Heidenheim
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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