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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 17, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
 
BL

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Bayern

Weghorst (35'), Philipp (54')
Otavio (57'), Mbabu (86')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Musiala (15', 37'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (24')
Hernandez (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.13%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.89%) and 0-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
22.62%21.25%56.13%
Both teams to score 61.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.57%36.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.43%58.58%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82%29.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88%65.12%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05%12.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58%39.43%
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 22.62%
    Bayern Munich 56.13%
    Draw 21.25%
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.86%
1-0 @ 4.66%
2-0 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-1 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 22.62%
1-1 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 3.78%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.25%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-2 @ 7.89%
0-1 @ 7.73%
1-3 @ 6.63%
0-3 @ 5.38%
2-3 @ 4.08%
1-4 @ 3.39%
0-4 @ 2.75%
2-4 @ 2.09%
1-5 @ 1.38%
0-5 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 56.13%

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