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ML
Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
May 3, 2021 at 5pm UK
Coface Arena
HB

Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Mwene (40')
Bell (18'), Barreiro (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tousart (36')
Tousart (39'), Cunha (67'), Ascacibar (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawHertha Berlin
40.37%27.1%32.53%
Both teams to score 50.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77%55.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54%76.46%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16%26.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86%62.14%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38%31.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98%68.02%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 40.37%
    Hertha Berlin 32.53%
    Draw 27.1%
Mainz 05DrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 40.37%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.48%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 9.77%
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 5.63%
1-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.53%

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