We said: AC Milan 2-1 Liverpool
An inexperienced Liverpool side playing on the San Siro turf for the first time may just come up short this week, especially with Pioli's side having much more to fight for in midweek.
Very rarely are the Reds kept at bay no matter who leads the line, but the Rossoneri's settled XI can follow up their hard-fought Wanda Metropolitano win with a victory that may or may not be enough for a spot in the knockout rounds.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for an AC Milan win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
