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LL
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2021 at 8pm UK
Anfield
ML

Liverpool
3 - 2
AC Milan

Tomori (9' og.), Salah (49'), Henderson (69')
Milner (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rebic (42'), Diaz (44')
Bennacer (13'), Diaz (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawAC Milan
53.64%24.12%22.23%
Both teams to score 51.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.28%49.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27%71.73%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53%18.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.34%49.65%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06%36.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27%73.72%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 53.64%
    AC Milan 22.23%
    Draw 24.12%
LiverpoolDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.64%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 22.23%

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