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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
IL

AC Milan
1 - 1
Inter Milan

de Vrij (17' og.)
Ballo-Toure (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Calhanoglu (11' pen.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
30.74%24.84%44.42%
Both teams to score 56.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59%46.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.31%68.69%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62%28.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88%64.12%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05%20.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31%53.69%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 30.74%
    Inter Milan 44.42%
    Draw 24.83%
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 7.49%
2-1 @ 7.37%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.74%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 5.95%
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 9.29%
1-2 @ 9.15%
0-2 @ 7.26%
1-3 @ 4.77%
0-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.42%

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